Think of the economy as a big round‑about where households, firms, the government and the rest of the world keep the traffic moving.
• Households provide labour and receive wages, interest and rent.
• Firms produce goods and services and pay households for their labour.
• The government collects taxes and spends on public goods.
• The rest of the world imports goods from us and exports our goods abroad.
The multiplier tells us how a change in one part of the economy (like a tax cut or a new road) ripples through the whole system.
It’s like a water‑bottle: pour a little water in, and the whole bottle fills up because of the shape of the bottle.
The shape of the “circular flow bottle” depends on whether the economy is closed or open, and whether the government is involved.
| Symbol | Meaning | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| \$MPC\$ | Marginal Propensity to Consume | % |
| Multiplier | How much total income changes per unit change in autonomous spending | \$k = \dfrac{1}{1 - MPC}\$ |
Example: If \$MPC = 0.8\$, then \$k = \dfrac{1}{1-0.8} = 5\$.
A £1 million increase in investment will raise total income by £5 million.
Now we add taxes.
Let \$MPT\$ = Marginal Propensity to Tax (the fraction of extra income that goes to taxes).
| Symbol | Meaning | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| \$MPT\$ | Marginal Propensity to Tax | % |
| Government Multiplier | Effect of a change in government spending | \$k_g = \dfrac{1}{1 - MPC + MPT}\$ |
If \$MPC = 0.8\$ and \$MPT = 0.2\$, then \$k_g = \dfrac{1}{1-0.8+0.2} = \dfrac{1}{0.4} = 2.5\$.
A £1 million tax cut increases disposable income by £1 million, but the total income rises only £2.5 million because some of the extra money is taxed away.
Imports act like a drain: part of the money households spend goes abroad.
Let \$MPI\$ = Marginal Propensity to Import.
| Symbol | Meaning | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| \$MPI\$ | Marginal Propensity to Import | % |
| Open‑Economy Multiplier | Effect of a change in autonomous spending | \$k_{open} = \dfrac{1}{1 - MPC + MPI}\$ |
Example: \$MPC = 0.75\$, \$MPI = 0.15\$ → \$k_{open} = \dfrac{1}{1-0.75+0.15} = \dfrac{1}{0.4} = 2.5\$.
The presence of imports halves the multiplier compared to a closed economy with the same MPC.
Combine taxes and imports.
The government multiplier in an open economy is:
\$k_{g,open} = \dfrac{1}{1 - MPC + MPT + MPI}\$
If \$MPC = 0.7\$, \$MPT = 0.1\$, \$MPI = 0.2\$, then
\$k_{g,open} = \dfrac{1}{1-0.7+0.1+0.2} = \dfrac{1}{0.6} \approx 1.67\$.
Answers are in the back of the book – or ask your teacher! 🎓