International Trade and Globalisation – Foreign Exchange Rates
International Trade and Globalisation – Foreign Exchange Rates
Objective
Explain the reasons why individuals, firms and governments buy and sell foreign currencies, focusing on the payment of profit, interest and dividends across borders.
Key Concepts
Foreign exchange market: The global marketplace where currencies are bought and sold.
Exchange rate: The price of one currency expressed in terms of another.
Current account transactions: Trade in goods, services, investment income (profits, interest, dividends) and transfers.
Why Do Economic Agents Need Foreign Currency?
Payment of profits earned by multinational enterprises (MNEs) in a foreign subsidiary.
Payment of interest on cross‑border loans and bonds.
Payment of dividends to foreign shareholders.
Other reasons (import payments, tourism, speculation) – listed for completeness.
Detailed Explanation of the Three Main Reasons
Reason
Who is buying/selling?
Typical transaction
Effect on exchange rate
Profit repatriation
Parent company of an MNE
Convert subsidiary’s earnings from foreign currency to home currency
Increased demand for home currency → upward pressure on its value
Interest payments
Borrower (often a government or corporation)
Convert home currency into foreign currency to meet interest obligations
Increased demand for foreign currency → upward pressure on that currency
Dividend payments
Foreign shareholder
Receive dividend in foreign currency, then sell it for home currency
Similar to profit repatriation – creates demand for home currency
Illustrative Example
Consider a UK‑based company, BritCo, that has a subsidiary in the United States. In the fiscal year the US subsidiary earns \$10 million in profit. To repatriate the profit, BritCo must exchange the \$10 million for pounds.
BritCo’s demand for pounds increases, which, ceteris paribus, tends to push the pound’s value up relative to the dollar.
Impact on the Foreign Exchange Market
Large, regular outflows of foreign currency (e.g., profit repatriation) can cause the home currency to appreciate.
Conversely, large inflows (e.g., foreign investors receiving dividends) can also strengthen the home currency.
Central banks may intervene to offset excessive movements caused by these flows.
Summary Checklist
Identify the economic agent involved (firm, government, investor).
Determine the direction of the currency flow (home → foreign or foreign → home).
Assess the likely short‑run impact on the exchange rate.
Consider any mitigating actions by central banks or hedging by firms.
Suggested diagram: Flow chart showing the movement of foreign currency for profit, interest and dividend payments between a subsidiary, parent company, and foreign investors.