Cambridge A‑Level Economics expects students to recognise that governments usually pursue the following six objectives. These objectives can conflict, so understanding their inter‑relationships is essential.
The internal value is the amount of domestic goods and services that one unit of currency can purchase – the inverse of the domestic price level.
Quantity Theory of Money (QTM) provides the core relationship:
\[ M \times V = P \times Y \]Quantitative example: If \(M = £800\) billion, \(V = 4\), and \(Y = £2{,}000\) billion, then
\[ P = \frac{M \times V}{Y} = \frac{800 \times 4}{2{,}000}=1.6 \] The internal value of £1 is therefore \(1/P = 0.625\) units of real output.The external value is the amount of foreign currency that one unit of domestic currency can buy, expressed by the nominal exchange rate (\(E\)).
Key determinants:
The Cambridge syllabus requires students to explain five specific inter‑relationships between the macro‑economic problems. The links are numbered exactly as in the syllabus.
| Link | Direction of Influence | Key Economic Mechanism |
|---|---|---|
| Link 1 – Internal ↔ External Value of Money | ||
| Higher domestic inflation → higher \(P_{\text{domestic}}\) | Depreciation of the currency (PPP) | Exchange‑rate adjusts to restore relative purchasing power. |
| Currency depreciation → higher import prices | Domestic inflation rises (import‑price pass‑through) | Feedback loop between external and internal values. |
| Link 2 – Inflation ↔ Unemployment (Phillips Curve) | ||
| Expansionary demand → higher output & lower unemployment | Short‑run rise in inflation | Traditional downward‑sloping Phillips curve. |
| Higher inflation expectations | Shift of the Phillips curve upward; trade‑off disappears | Adaptive or rational expectations. |
| Link 3 – Inflation ↔ Balance of Payments | ||
| Higher domestic inflation → depreciation (PPP) | Exports become cheaper, imports more expensive → potential current‑account improvement | Terms‑of‑trade effect may be offset by “inflation‑induced” loss of competitiveness. |
| Link 4 – Growth ↔ Inflation | ||
| Rapid real‑GDP growth → upward pressure on aggregate demand | Higher price level if the economy approaches full capacity | AD/AS framework – right‑ward shift of AD intersecting an upward‑sloping SRAS. |
| Link 5 – Growth ↔ Balance of Payments | ||
| Higher growth → higher import demand | Worsening current account unless export growth matches | “Twin‑deficit” hypothesis (budget deficit → higher growth → larger import bill). |
| Policy Tool | Target Objective(s) | Typical Mechanism | Potential Trade‑off / Government Failure |
|---|---|---|---|
| Expansionary fiscal policy (higher G or lower T) | Growth, lower unemployment | Increases AD → higher output and price level. | May worsen the current account (higher imports) and fuel inflation; crowding‑out if financed by borrowing. |
| Contractionary fiscal policy (lower G or higher T) | Price stability | Reduces AD → lower price level. | Can raise unemployment; political resistance (Laffer‑curve effects). |
| Expansionary monetary policy (lower i, QE) | Growth, lower unemployment | Raises money supply → lower interest rates → higher investment & consumption; may depreciate the currency. | Liquidity trap, long time‑lag, possible asset‑price bubbles. |
| Contractionary monetary policy (higher i) | Price stability | Reduces investment & consumption; can appreciate the currency. | Higher unemployment; may attract speculative capital inflows that over‑appreciate the currency. |
| Supply‑side policies (deregulation, training, R&D subsidies) | Long‑run growth, lower structural unemployment | Shift LRAS right, improve productivity. | Long implementation lag; benefits may be unevenly distributed (equity issue). |
| Exchange‑rate policy (fixed, managed float, devaluation) | Balance‑of‑payments, export competitiveness | Directly alters external value of money. | Risk of speculative attacks; loss of monetary‑policy autonomy under a fixed regime. |
| Trade policy (tariffs, quotas, export subsidies) | Current‑account improvement, protection of domestic industries | Alters relative prices of imports and exports. | Retaliation, dead‑weight loss, may dampen growth. |
| Income‑distribution policies (progressive tax, welfare) | Equitable distribution, social stability | Re‑allocates disposable income. | Potential disincentive effects on labour supply; fiscal cost. |
| Environmental / sustainability policies (carbon tax, green subsidies) | Sustainable development | Internalises externalities; may shift LRAS left in the short run, right in the long run. | Short‑run cost to firms/consumers; political resistance. |
Government failure occurs when policy actions do not achieve the intended objective or create additional problems. The most common sources are:
| Aspect | Internal Value of Money | External Value of Money | Macro‑Economic Implications |
|---|---|---|---|
| Definition | Purchasing power of the currency at home ( \(1/P\) ) | Nominal exchange rate (foreign currency per unit of domestic currency, \(E\)) | Determines the domestic price level and international competitiveness. |
| Key Determinants | Money supply (M), velocity (V), real output (Y) | Relative price levels (PPP), interest‑rate differentials (IRP), capital flows, expectations | Policy levers often affect both simultaneously. |
| Effect of Inflation | ↓ Internal value (higher P) | ↓ External value (depreciation, \(E\) rises) | Worsens the current account; may trigger tighter monetary policy; real wages fall → possible rise in unemployment. |
| Effect of Monetary Tightening | ↑ Internal value (lower P) | ↑ External value (appreciation, \(E\) falls) | Reduces inflation, but can raise unemployment and improve the capital‑account balance. |
| Effect of Expansionary Fiscal Policy | ↓ Internal value (higher P via AD shift) | ↓ External value (depreciation if price‑level effect dominates) | Boosts output and employment; risk of a larger import bill → current‑account deficit. |
| Effect of Supply‑Side Policies | Potential ↑ internal value (lower P) in the long run as LRAS shifts right | Neutral short‑run; may lead to appreciation if growth outpaces inflation. | Higher potential output, lower structural unemployment, but long implementation lag. |
| Sustainability / Development Policies | Environmental taxes raise the price of polluting goods (lower internal value for those goods) | May cause short‑run depreciation if taxes reduce investor returns; long‑run green‑technology gains can improve competitiveness. | Balances growth with environmental quality; can affect trade patterns (e.g., carbon‑border adjustments). |
These topics are part of the A‑Level specification but are outside the scope of this particular set of notes. Students should consult the textbook chapter on “International Economic Issues” for coverage of:
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