| Method | Type | When to use | Brief description |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moving‑average | Quantitative | Stable demand, short‑term forecasts | Average of the last n periods smooths random fluctuations. |
| Exponential smoothing | Quantitative | When recent data are more relevant | Applies a weighting factor (α) to give recent periods more influence. |
| Regression analysis | Quantitative | Identify relationships (e.g., price ↔ demand) | Fits a line (or curve) to historical data to predict future values. |
| Delphi technique | Qualitative | New product or market with little data | Series of questionnaires to experts; anonymity reduces bias. |
| Scenario planning | Qualitative | High uncertainty (political, economic) | Develop best‑case, worst‑case, and most‑likely scenarios and forecast for each. |
| Factor | Key questions for an overseas market |
|---|---|
| Political | Stability, trade policies, tariffs, foreign‑ownership limits. |
| Economic | GDP growth, income distribution, exchange‑rate volatility, inflation. |
| Social‑cultural | Values, language, religion, lifestyle, consumer attitudes. |
| Technological | Internet penetration, R&D capacity, logistics infrastructure. |
| Legal | Consumer protection, IP rights, employment law, health & safety. |
| Environmental | Regulations on waste, carbon emissions, sustainability expectations. |
| KPI | What it measures | Typical target |
|---|---|---|
| Sales volume (units) | Market penetration | +10 % YoY in target country |
| Market share | Competitive position | Reach 5 % within 2 years |
| Brand‑awareness score | Effectiveness of promotion | ≥70 % aided recall |
| Profit margin | Cost‑efficiency | Maintain ≥15 % after localisation costs |
| Customer‑satisfaction (NPS) | Service quality | Score ≥50 |
| Strategy | Key idea | Typical example | When it works best |
|---|---|---|---|
| Global (Standardisation) | Identical product, price, promotion and distribution in all markets. | Coca‑Cola – same formula, logo and core advertising worldwide. | Products with universal appeal, low cultural sensitivity, strong brand equity. |
| Local (Adaptation) | One or more of the 4 Ps are modified to suit local tastes, regulations or buying habits. | McDonald’s “McSpicy Paneer” in India; Toyota right‑hand‑drive models for the UK. | High cultural, legal or climatic differences; when localisation adds perceived value. |
| Entry mode | Control | Risk | Typical cost | Key advantage | Typical example |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exporting (direct) | Low‑medium (through own sales office) | Medium – exchange‑rate, trade barriers | Low – uses existing production | Quick market test, minimal capital | UK fashion label selling via a Spanish distributor. |
| Exporting (indirect) | Low (through an intermediary) | Medium | Low | Leverages partner’s local knowledge | Australian wine sold by an import agent in Japan. |
| Licensing | Low‑medium | Medium – partner performance, IP protection | Low – royalty income only | Fast entry, low capital outlay | Disney characters licensed to Chinese toy makers. |
| Franchising | Medium | Medium‑high – brand‑reputation risk | Medium – training, support manuals | Replicates a proven business model | Subway outlets across the Middle East. |
| Joint venture (JV) | High (shared) | High – partner conflict, cultural clash | Medium‑high – equity investment | Access to local networks, shared risk | Starbucks + Tata (India). |
| Wholly owned subsidiary | Very high | High – political, financial, operational | High – full set‑up cost | Full control of brand, technology and profit | Apple’s manufacturing plant in Ireland. |
| 4 Ps | Standardisation options | Adaptation options |
|---|---|---|
| Product | Same core features, branding, packaging size. | Flavour, colour, labelling language, compliance with local standards. |
| Price | Uniform list price, global discount policy. | Local purchasing‑power, currency, tax regime, competitor‑price positioning. |
| Place (distribution) | Global e‑commerce platform, same logistics provider. | Local retailers, franchisees, market‑specific warehousing. |
| Promotion | World‑wide TV or online campaign, same slogan. | Local language copy, culturally relevant imagery, use of local influencers. |
| Benefit | Explanation | Potential challenge |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | New markets generate additional sales streams, increasing total turnover. | Currency fluctuations may erode profit margins. |
| Economies of scale | Higher output reduces average costs, improving price competitiveness. | Complexity in production planning, logistics and quality control. |
| Risk diversification | Performance is less tied to a single economy’s cycle. | Managing diverse legal, tax and regulatory regimes. |
| Competitive edge | First‑mover advantage builds brand recognition and loyalty. | Higher upfront investment and uncertainty about market response. |
| Resource access | Cheaper inputs or specialised skills improve margins. | Supply‑chain reliability and geopolitical risk. |
| Innovation | Adapting products for varied cultures sparks creative solutions that can be re‑used globally. | Requires extensive market research and localisation effort. |
| Brand image | International presence signals size, stability and prestige. | Any failure abroad can damage the global reputation. |
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