the impact of business growth on ratio results

Finance and Accounting Strategy – Business Growth & Ratio Analysis (Cambridge 9609)

1. Why Businesses Need Finance

  • Start‑up & expansion – finance is required to buy land, plant & equipment, develop new products, enter new markets or increase production capacity.
  • Working‑capital needs (short‑term) – cash to bridge the gap between cash outflows (payables, wages, overheads) and cash inflows (sales receipts).
  • Long‑term investment – funding for assets that will generate returns over several years (e.g., a new factory, research & development).
  • Cash‑flow vs. profit – a profit‑making business can still run out of cash if receipts are delayed or outflows are front‑loaded.
    Profit (income‑statement) ≠ Cash (cash‑flow statement)
    
    +-------------------+-------------------+
    |   Income          |   Cash            |
    +-------------------+-------------------+
    | Sales on credit   | Cash received     |
    | Depreciation      | No cash outflow   |
    | Accrued expenses  | Cash paid later   |
    | ...               | ...               |
    +-------------------+-------------------+
    
  • Business failure – insufficient finance (especially working‑capital) is a common cause of failure; even profitable firms may collapse if they cannot meet short‑term obligations.
  • Capital vs. revenue expenditure
    • Capital expenditure (CapEx) – purchase of long‑term assets; recorded on the balance sheet and depreciated over useful life.
    • Revenue expenditure (RevEx) – day‑to‑day operating costs; charged to the profit & loss account in the period incurred.

2. Sources of Finance

Source Internal / External Typical Cost Control / Ownership Impact Key Factors Influencing Choice
Retained earnings Internal Opportunity cost only Owner retains full control Profitability, dividend policy, cash‑flow position
Sale of non‑core assets Internal Low‑to‑moderate (transaction costs) No dilution of ownership Asset utilisation, tax implications
Share capital (ordinary / preference) External Dividends / expected return Shares dilute ownership & voting rights Growth stage, market confidence, required control
Debentures / bonds External Fixed interest (coupon) No ownership dilution; creates fixed financial obligations Credit rating, interest‑rate environment, covenant terms
Bank loans & overdrafts External Variable or fixed interest + fees Security may be required; no equity dilution Collateral, repayment period, bank relationship
Leasing (operating / finance) External Lease rentals Operating lease – asset not owned; finance lease – ownership transferred at end Cash‑flow flexibility, tax treatment, asset obsolescence
Crowdfunding / venture capital External Equity share or reward‑based fees Often involves loss of some control & equity Innovation level, market appeal, growth potential

3. Forecasting & Managing Cash Flows

A cash‑flow forecast shows the expected movement of cash over a chosen period (usually monthly). It highlights potential deficits and informs financing decisions.

Month Opening Balance (£) Cash Inflows (£) Cash Outflows (£) Closing Balance (£)
Jan 10,000 15,000 12,000 13,000
Feb 13,000 18,000 16,000 15,000
Mar 15,000 20,000 19,500 15,500

Ways to improve cash flow

  • Accelerate receivables – offer early‑payment discounts or use factoring.
  • Delay payables – negotiate longer credit terms with suppliers.
  • Maintain optimal inventory – adopt just‑in‑time (JIT) or reorder‑point systems.
  • Control discretionary spending – regular review of overheads and non‑essential costs.

4. Costs, Costing Methods & Break‑Even Analysis

  • Cost classifications
    • Fixed vs. variable
    • Direct (e.g., raw material) vs. indirect (e.g., factory overhead)
    • Product (attached to a specific product) vs. period costs (charged to the period)
  • Costing methods
    • Full (absorption) costing – all production costs (fixed + variable) allocated to each unit.
    • Contribution (marginal) costing – only variable costs allocated to units; fixed costs treated as period expenses.
  • Break‑Even Point (BEP)

    Using contribution costing:

    $$\text{BEP (units)} = \frac{\text{Fixed Costs}}{\text{Selling Price per unit} - \text{Variable Cost per unit}}$$

    Graphically, the BEP is where the total revenue line meets the total cost line.

    Limitations: assumes constant selling price, constant variable cost per unit and that all output produced is sold.

5. Budgets & Variance Analysis

  • Types of budgets
    • Incremental – based on the previous period plus a set increase.
    • Flexible – adjusts for the actual level of activity (e.g., sales volume).
    • Zero‑based – every expense must be justified from scratch.
  • Example: Sales Budget vs. Actual
Item Budgeted (£) Actual (£) Variance (£) Favourable / Unfavourable
Revenue 120,000 130,500 +10,500 Favourable
Variable Costs 48,000 52,800 -4,800 Unfavourable
Fixed Costs 30,000 31,200 -1,200 Unfavourable

Variance analysis pinpoints where performance diverged from the plan and helps managers take corrective action.

6. Core Financial Statements (Cambridge Requirement)

  • Profit & Loss Account (Income Statement) – summarises revenue, cost of sales, gross profit, operating expenses, operating profit, interest, tax and net profit for a period.
  • Balance Sheet – a snapshot of assets, liabilities and equity at a specific date.
    • Current assets (cash, receivables, inventory)
    • Non‑current assets (property, plant, equipment – shown net of depreciation)
    • Current liabilities (payables, short‑term loans)
    • Non‑current liabilities (long‑term loans, debentures)
    • Equity (share capital, retained earnings)
  • Inventory valuation – lower of cost or net realisable value; methods include FIFO, LIFO and weighted‑average.
  • Depreciation – systematic allocation of the cost of a non‑current asset over its useful life. Common methods: straight‑line, reducing balance, units of production.

7. Core Ratio Analysis – Formulas & Interpretation

Ratio Formula Interpretation
Gross Profit Margin (GPM) $$\frac{\text{Gross Profit}}{\text{Revenue}}\times100$$ Profitability after the cost of goods sold.
Net Profit Margin (NPM) $$\frac{\text{Net Profit}}{\text{Revenue}}\times100$$ Overall profitability after all expenses.
Current Ratio (CR) $$\frac{\text{Current Assets}}{\text{Current Liabilities}}$$ Short‑term liquidity – ability to meet current debts.
Quick Ratio (QR) $$\frac{\text{Current Assets}-\text{Inventory}}{\text{Current Liabilities}}$$ Liquidity excluding inventory (more stringent test).
Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) $$\frac{\text{Operating Profit}}{\text{Capital Employed}}\times100$$ Efficiency of capital use (operating profit ÷ (non‑current assets + working capital)).
Return on Equity (ROE) $$\frac{\text{Net Profit}}{\text{Average Shareholders' Equity}}\times100$$ Profit generated per unit of equity invested.
Debt‑to‑Equity Ratio (D/E) $$\frac{\text{Total Debt}}{\text{Total Equity}}$$ Financial leverage – proportion of financing that is debt.
Inventory Turnover (IT) $$\frac{\text{Cost of Goods Sold}}{\text{Average Inventory}}$$ How many times inventory is sold and replaced in a period.

8. How Business Growth Affects Ratio Results

  1. Scale of operations – Higher sales spread fixed costs, usually improving GPM and NPM (economies of scale).
  2. Asset‑base expansion – New plant, equipment or acquisitions increase total assets. If operating profit does not rise proportionally, ROCE may fall.
  3. Working‑capital requirements – Faster sales often raise trade receivables and inventory, putting downward pressure on the Current Ratio and Quick Ratio unless funded by additional current liabilities or cash.
  4. Financing mix – Debt‑financed growth raises the D/E ratio, increases interest expense and can compress NPM and ROE.
  5. Economies vs. diseconomies of scale – Realised economies boost margins; managerial or coordination diseconomies can erode them, leading to lower profitability ratios.

9. Illustrative Example – Impact of Growth on Ratios

Company Alpha expands production capacity. Figures are shown in £ thousands.

Item Year 1 (Before Growth) Year 2 (After Growth)
Revenue5,0007,500
Cost of Goods Sold3,0004,200
Gross Profit2,0003,300
Operating Expenses8001,200
Operating Profit1,2002,100
Net Profit9001,500
Current Assets1,2001,800
Current Liabilities600900
Total Assets3,5005,200
Total Equity2,5003,200
Total Debt1,0002,000
Ratio Year 1 Year 2 Impact of Growth
Gross Profit Margin $$\frac{2,000}{5,000}\times100 = 40\%$$ $$\frac{3,300}{7,500}\times100 = 44\%$$ Improved – COGS grew slower than revenue (economies of scale).
Net Profit Margin $$\frac{900}{5,000}\times100 = 18\%$$ $$\frac{1,500}{7,500}\times100 = 20\%$$ Higher profitability despite larger absolute costs.
Current Ratio $$\frac{1,200}{600}=2.0$$ $$\frac{1,800}{900}=2.0$$ Unchanged – current assets and liabilities grew proportionally.
Debt‑to‑Equity $$\frac{1,000}{2,500}=0.40$$ $$\frac{2,000}{3,200}=0.63$$ Higher leverage due to debt‑financed expansion.
ROCE $$\frac{1,200}{3,500-1,200}= \frac{1,200}{2,300}=52.2\%$$ $$\frac{2,100}{5,200-1,800}= \frac{2,100}{3,400}=61.8\%$$ Improved – operating profit rose faster than capital employed.

10. Quick Checklist for Exam Answers (Cambridge 9609)

  • Define the purpose of finance and distinguish short‑term vs. long‑term needs.
  • State that profit ≠ cash and illustrate with a simple diagram.
  • List at least three internal and three external sources of finance, noting cost, control and choice factors.
  • Show a basic cash‑flow forecast and name two ways to improve cash flow.
  • Explain the difference between full (absorption) and contribution (marginal) costing.
  • Write the BEP formula and comment on its limitations.
  • Identify the three main types of budget and the purpose of variance analysis.
  • Recall the key components of the profit & loss account and balance sheet.
  • Provide formulas for the eight core ratios and briefly interpret each.
  • Explain how growth can affect at least three ratios, using examples of economies of scale, asset expansion and financing mix.

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