interpretation of elasticity results

8.1 Marketing Analysis – Elasticity

Objective

Interpret elasticity coefficients and apply them to marketing decisions – pricing, product‑mix and promotional strategy – in line with Cambridge International Business (9609) 8.1.

1. What Is Elasticity and Why Does It Matter?

  • Elasticity measures the responsiveness of one variable (quantity demanded or supplied) to a change in another (price, income, related‑product price or promotional spend).
  • It tells managers how a change in price, income, competitor pricing or advertising will affect sales and revenue, enabling more informed strategic choices.

2. Types of Elasticity Required by the Syllabus

Elasticity Variable examined Typical marketing use
Price Elasticity of Demand (PED) Quantity demanded ↔ own price Set price level, decide on price cuts or increases.
Cross‑Price Elasticity of Demand (XED) Quantity demanded of good A ↔ price of good B Bundle complementary goods or position as a substitute.
Income Elasticity of Demand (YED) Quantity demanded ↔ consumer income Target high‑income vs. low‑income segments; forecast demand in economic cycles.
Price Elasticity of Supply (PES) Quantity supplied ↔ price Assess capacity flexibility and short‑run vs. long‑run supply responses.
Advertising (Promotional) Elasticity Quantity demanded ↔ advertising or promotional spend Determine optimal advertising budget and expected sales lift.

3. Key Formulae

Mid‑point (arc) formula (used for all elasticities): \[ E \;=\; \frac{\displaystyle\frac{Q_{2}-Q_{1}}{(Q_{2}+Q_{1})/2}} {\displaystyle\frac{V_{2}-V_{1}}{(V_{2}+V_{1})/2}} \]
where V is the variable that changes (price, income, competitor price or advertising spend).
Note: PED is conventionally negative; when applying the revenue rule‑of‑thumb use the absolute value \(|\text{PED}|\).

4. Calculating Elasticities – Worked Examples

4.1 Price Elasticity of Demand (PED)

Company X sells 2 000 units at £10 each. After a price cut to £8, sales rise to 2 800 units.

\[ \begin{aligned} \%\Delta Q &= \frac{2\,800-2\,000}{(2\,800+2\,000)/2}= \frac{800}{2\,400}=0.3333\;(33.33\%)\\ \%\Delta P &= \frac{8-10}{(8+10)/2}= \frac{-2}{9}= -0.2222\;(-22.22\%)\\ \text{PED} &= \frac{0.3333}{-0.2222}= -1.5 \end{aligned} \] Interpretation: \(|\text{PED}| = 1.5 > 1\) → demand is **elastic**; a price cut is likely to raise total revenue.

4.2 Cross‑Price Elasticity of Demand (XED)

Product A (smartphone case) sells 5 000 units when the price of Product B (screen protector) is £5. When the screen‑protector price rises to £7, case sales increase to 5 600 units.

\[ \begin{aligned} \%\Delta Q_A &= \frac{5\,600-5\,000}{(5\,600+5\,000)/2}= \frac{600}{5\,300}=0.1132\;(11.32\%)\\ \%\Delta P_B &= \frac{7-5}{(7+5)/2}= \frac{2}{6}=0.3333\;(33.33\%)\\ \text{XED}_{A,B} &= \frac{0.1132}{0.3333}=0.34 \end{aligned} \] Interpretation: Positive XED (0 < XED < 1) → the two goods are **weak substitutes**; a price rise in the screen protector lifts case demand modestly.

4.3 Income Elasticity of Demand (YED)

A luxury watch sells 500 units when average consumer income is £30 k. When income rises to £35 k, sales increase to 650 units.

\[ \begin{aligned} \%\Delta Q &= \frac{650-500}{(650+500)/2}= \frac{150}{575}=0.2609\;(26.09\%)\\ \%\Delta Y &= \frac{35-30}{(35+30)/2}= \frac{5}{32.5}=0.1538\;(15.38\%)\\ \text{YED} &= \frac{0.2609}{0.1538}=1.70 \end{aligned} \] Interpretation: YED > 1 → the watch is a **luxury (normal) good**; demand grows faster than income.

4.4 Price Elasticity of Supply (PES)

Manufacturer Z produces 1 200 units of a seasonal fruit when the market price is £4 per kg. After the price rises to £5 per kg, output increases to 1 500 kg.

\[ \begin{aligned} \%\Delta Q_S &= \frac{1\,500-1\,200}{(1\,500+1\,200)/2}= \frac{300}{1\,350}=0.2222\;(22.22\%)\\ \%\Delta P &= \frac{5-4}{(5+4)/2}= \frac{1}{4.5}=0.2222\;(22.22\%)\\ \text{PES} &= \frac{0.2222}{0.2222}=1.0 \end{aligned} \] Interpretation: PES = 1 → supply is **unitary elastic** in the short‑run; producers can increase output proportionally to price changes.

4.5 Advertising (Promotional) Elasticity

Brand Y spends £100 k on advertising and sells 4 000 units. After increasing the budget to £120 k, sales rise to 4 560 units.

\[ \begin{aligned} \%\Delta Q &= \frac{4\,560-4\,000}{(4\,560+4\,000)/2}= \frac{560}{4\,280}=0.1308\;(13.08\%)\\ \%\Delta A &= \frac{120-100}{(120+100)/2}= \frac{20}{110}=0.1818\;(18.18\%)\\ \text{Ad‑Elasticity} &= \frac{0.1308}{0.1818}=0.72 \end{aligned} \] Interpretation: 0 < |E| < 1 → demand is **inelastic** with respect to advertising; large spend generates a proportionally smaller sales lift.

5. Interpreting the Coefficient

Rule‑of‑thumb for revenue impact
  • Elastic (|E| > 1) → price cut → total revenue ↑.
  • Inelastic (0 < |E| < 1) → price rise → total revenue ↑.
  • Unitary (|E| = 1) → price change → total revenue unchanged.
  • Negative XED → complementary goods; price rise in one reduces demand for the other.
  • Positive XED → substitute goods; price rise in one increases demand for the other.
  • YED > 0 → normal good; YED > 1 → luxury, YED < 1 → necessity.
  • YED < 0 → inferior good.
Elasticity value Interpretation Implication for marketing
\(|E| > 1\) Elastic – quantity changes proportionally more than the variable. Consider price cuts, penetration pricing or heavy promotion.
\(|E| = 1\) Unitary elastic. Price moves do not affect revenue; focus on cost control or differentiation.
\(0 < |E| < 1\) Inelastic – quantity changes proportionally less. Price increases can raise revenue; premium or skimming strategies are viable.
\(E = 0\) Perfectly inelastic. Very high pricing power – typical of essential or unique products.
\(E = \infty\) Perfectly elastic. Any price rise eliminates demand – market is highly competitive.
\(E < 0\) (XED) Complementary goods. Bundle or jointly price complementary products.
\(E > 0\) (XED) Substitute goods. Position product as a substitute; monitor competitor pricing.
\(YED > 0\) Normal good. Target higher‑income segments; expect growth in up‑turns.
\(YED < 0\) Inferior good. Focus on price‑sensitive or lower‑income markets.

Summary Checklist – Elasticity → Marketing Decision

  • PED elastic (|E| > 1) – use penetration pricing or temporary discounts.
  • PED inelastic (0 < |E| < 1) – apply price skimming or premium pricing; consider price discrimination where feasible.
  • XED negative – bundle complementary items or offer joint promotions.
  • XED positive – develop a substitute line, highlight differentiators, or monitor competitor price moves.
  • YED > 1 (luxury) – target high‑income segments; expand in growing economies.
  • YED < 1 (necessity) – focus on volume and wide distribution.
  • YED < 0 (inferior) – aim at price‑sensitive, lower‑income consumers.
  • Advertising elasticity high (|E| > 1) – allocate a larger share of the budget to media spend.
  • Advertising elasticity low (|E| < 1) – consider alternative promotional tools (sales‑promotion, public relations).

6. Using Elasticity in Marketing Decision‑Making

  1. Calculate the relevant elasticity (PED, XED, YED, PES or advertising elasticity) for the product/market segment.
  2. Interpret the coefficient using the rule‑of‑thumb table and checklist.
  3. Choose a pricing tactic:
    • Elastic demand → penetration pricing or discounting.
    • Inelastic demand → price skimming, premium pricing or price discrimination (e.g., student vs. business rates).
  4. Adjust the product‑mix where cross‑price elasticity is relevant:
    • Negative XED → bundle complementary goods or create package deals.
    • Positive XED → develop a substitute line or emphasise unique features.
  5. Plan promotional spend when advertising elasticity is known:
    • High ad‑elasticity → aggressive media campaigns.
    • Low ad‑elasticity → shift budget to price promotions, PR or distribution improvements.
  6. Monitor and review – elasticities can shift because of new competitors, changing consumer tastes or long‑run adjustments.

7. Short‑Run vs. Long‑Run Elasticity (≈ 50 words)

In the short run, consumers have limited ability to find substitutes or change habits, so demand is often less elastic. Over the long run, alternatives become available and preferences evolve, making demand more elastic. Similarly, supply is usually more inelastic short‑term (capacity constraints) and more elastic long‑term as firms can adjust plant and labour.

8. Limitations of Elasticity Analysis

  • Ceteris paribus assumption – all other factors are held constant, which rarely reflects real markets.
  • Data quality – reliable quantities, prices, income and advertising figures are essential.
  • Short‑run vs. long‑run differences – elasticities vary over time.
  • Variability across price ranges – a product may be elastic at high prices and inelastic at low prices.
  • Behavioural factors – brand loyalty, perceived quality and psychological pricing can distort measured elasticity.

Case‑study note: A fast‑fashion retailer raised prices after a successful season, assuming demand was inelastic. Ignoring the short‑run limitation, the price hike triggered a swift shift to cheaper rivals, causing a 12 % revenue drop – a classic example of mis‑reading elasticity.

9. Summary

  • Elasticity quantifies how demand or supply reacts to changes in price, income, related‑product price or promotional effort.
  • Use the midpoint formula for consistent coefficients; interpret magnitude and sign to guide pricing, product‑mix and promotion.
  • Apply the rule‑of‑thumb to predict revenue impact and select the appropriate pricing strategy (penetration, skimming, price discrimination).
  • Remember that elasticities are estimates – consider data quality, ceteris paribus, short‑run/long‑run differences and behavioural influences.
Suggested diagram: Two demand curves on the same axes – a steep (inelastic) curve and a flat (elastic) curve – with two price‑quantity points illustrating the midpoint calculation.

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